Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-7
Real Jaén vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
PUL
2 - 2
RJA
53%
22%
26%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
18%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BAL
2 - 1
RJA
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAT
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
UDL
4 - 0
RJA
69%
17%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 2
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
BAL
2 - 3
GRA
55%
20%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
RCD
1 - 0
GRA
60%
19%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
GRA
5 - 0
BAL
59%
20%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
GRA
6 - 0
ORI
75%
14%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |