Real Jaén vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
RJA
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
4 - 2
RJA
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
4 - 2
RJA
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 2
EIB
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 3
RJA
16%
26%
58%
|
61 | 18 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 2
NUM
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
EIB
0 - 3
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
GIR
6%
15%
79%
|
73 | 28 | 45 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALA
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
RCD
1 - 0
GIR
10%
18%
71%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |