Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-4
Real Jaén vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
54.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
REC
1 - 1
RJA
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
0 - 1
RMC
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CDT
2 - 1
RJA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
RJA
3 - 0
ZAR
19%
26%
56%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 3
RJA
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
RSO
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RAY
1 - 4
ESP
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 3
SEV
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAL
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |