Real Jaén vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1957 |
CDC
1 - 0
RJA
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
RJA
2 - 0
CEL
45%
23%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
ZAR
2 - 0
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
RJA
2 - 4
RMA
24%
23%
54%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
VCF
3 - 1
RJA
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
ESP
0 - 1
ATM
46%
23%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
VAD
2 - 2
ESP
56%
21%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
ESP
1 - 1
OSA
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SEV
3 - 0
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
UDL
2 - 2
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |