Real Jaén vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RJA
1 - 2
MAL
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
0 - 3
RJA
25%
26%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RJA
1 - 2
MOT
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HUE
1 - 0
RJA
28%
25%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RJA
2 - 1
HUE
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ELD
2 - 0
SDA
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RCF
1 - 1
ELD
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ELD
1 - 1
ELC
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HUE
0 - 1
ELD
58%
26%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ELD
0 - 1
VAD
16%
25%
60%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |