Real Jaén vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
30.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
DEP
2 - 1
RJA
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
OSA
2 - 1
RJA
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ALA
4 - 0
RJA
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
RJA
0 - 1
SAB
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 1
OSA
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
2 - 1
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
PBL
2 - 1
ELC
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
1 - 1
GDE
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ALG
0 - 3
ELC
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
1 - 0
PBL
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |