Real Jaén vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
MMA
4 - 1
RJA
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
RJA
3 - 0
VEL
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
JUV
1 - 0
RJA
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
COI
2 - 0
RJA
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
POL
2 - 1
ILI
58%
25%
18%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
GUA
1 - 0
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
POL
2 - 0
MIJ
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
ZUB
1 - 1
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
POL
3 - 0
UDS
50%
27%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |