Real Jaén vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
XER
2 - 1
RJA
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
RJA
3 - 0
ANT
64%
23%
12%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
FCA
3 - 0
RJA
59%
24%
16%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
RJA
3 - 2
REU
68%
22%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
RJA
0 - 1
PUE
59%
26%
16%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
SFE
2 - 0
CDB
51%
28%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
AGD
2 - 0
SFE
75%
18%
7%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
SFE
1 - 1
GRA
48%
29%
23%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
GIM
2 - 0
SFE
58%
28%
14%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
TER
0 - 0
SFE
59%
27%
14%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |