Real Jaén vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
POR
2 - 0
RJA
34%
34%
32%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
RJA
4 - 0
GIR
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1979 |
SEV
3 - 1
RJA
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
RJA
0 - 2
LIN
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
RJA
5 - 0
CDB
71%
19%
9%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
SFE
2 - 1
UES
58%
26%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
TER
2 - 0
SFE
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
SFE
3 - 1
CCF
48%
28%
24%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SFE
2 - 0
AGD
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ELD
1 - 0
SFE
70%
21%
10%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |