Real Jaén vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.7%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
9.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
POR
0 - 1
RJA
41%
33%
26%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
RJA
1 - 0
MEL
73%
19%
8%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
RJA
2 - 1
XER
63%
24%
13%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
JER
0 - 0
RJA
52%
28%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
RJA
1 - 1
AGD
60%
25%
15%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SFE
2 - 0
JER
66%
22%
12%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
AGD
1 - 1
SFE
72%
20%
9%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
BAL
1 - 0
SFE
50%
30%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ALM
2 - 1
SFE
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
SFE
4 - 1
ALB
79%
15%
5%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |