Real Jaén vs Cfba Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 0
POL
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
RJA
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
SRQ
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
RJA
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CFB
2 - 4
ALM
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
CFB
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CFB
0 - 3
ROQ
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
CFB
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CFB
2 - 0
ECI
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |