Real Jaén vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 0
CRD
75%
18%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
RJA
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 1
LUC
73%
18%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
RJA
36%
31%
34%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RJA
0 - 0
PAL
71%
20%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BET
3 - 1
VIL
39%
26%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAD
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
VIL
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CRD
0 - 2
VIL
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |