Real Jaén vs CD Huracán Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
5
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
RJA
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAL
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 1
RJA
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RJA
5 - 1
CDT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
RJA
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Huracán Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 5
HUE
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 2
CDM
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
CHM
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHM
1 - 4
MAL
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ARE
3 - 0
CHM
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |