Real Jaén vs Español de Tetuán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
GRA
0 - 2
RJA
48%
21%
31%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAA
59%
19%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
MAG
2 - 1
RJA
74%
14%
12%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDB
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Español de Tetuán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
EST
1 - 0
MAG
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
XER
3 - 1
EST
82%
11%
7%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
EST
3 - 2
MAL
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
UTR
2 - 1
EST
53%
21%
27%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |