Real Jaén vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
RJA
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RJA
2 - 0
CRD
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 1
RJA
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
RJA
2 - 1
CHO
11%
17%
72%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RJA
1 - 3
REC
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDE
0 - 1
MAR
27%
25%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
CDE
67%
20%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CDE
4 - 0
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +4 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 1
CDE
76%
15%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDE
0 - 2
MEL
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |