Real Jaén vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
RJA
2 - 0
EXT
85%
9%
5%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
CDT
1 - 0
RJA
50%
22%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
RJA
5 - 1
LEV
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SAB
3 - 0
RJA
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
CAS
3 - 3
UDE
64%
18%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
TER
4 - 1
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
CAS
2 - 2
XER
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAT
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |