Real Jaén vs C.D. Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
LIN
3 - 0
RJA
27%
25%
47%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
RJA
6 - 1
RON
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
1 - 0
RJA
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
RJA
2 - 1
PRI
88%
8%
4%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
ATL
3 - 0
RJA
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
C.D. Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ALM
1 - 0
ADR
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ALM
2 - 2
LIN
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
RON
4 - 1
ALM
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
ALM
1 - 0
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
PRI
2 - 1
ALM
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |