Real Jaén vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
LIN
0 - 1
RJA
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
RJA
2 - 2
CDB
60%
19%
20%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
LUC
1 - 3
RJA
33%
23%
44%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
RJA
2 - 0
REC
75%
14%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1946 |
RJA
8 - 0
MER
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
CAL
3 - 4
EME
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
EGA
4 - 0
CAL
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
CAL
1 - 1
COR
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
MER
4 - 0
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1946 |
LIN
1 - 1
CAL
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | +1 |