Real Jaén vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
SDM
0 - 2
RJA
50%
28%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
RJA
1 - 1
CDZ
74%
19%
7%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
LIN
1 - 0
RJA
55%
29%
16%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
RJA
1 - 0
IMP
81%
15%
4%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ORI
2 - 0
RJA
44%
32%
24%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
CPC
3 - 1
JER
64%
24%
13%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
AGD
0 - 0
CPC
63%
24%
14%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CPC
2 - 1
ELD
62%
25%
13%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
BAL
1 - 3
CPC
52%
30%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CPC
1 - 1
ALM
49%
29%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |