Real Jaén vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BAZ
1 - 2
RJA
46%
28%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
RJA
2 - 2
CAR
35%
30%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
POR
3 - 0
RJA
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VVA
1 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 1
ECI
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MER
3 - 2
VVA
44%
28%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ECI
2 - 1
MER
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
MER
1 - 0
MAL
23%
28%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 1
MER
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
MER
2 - 1
CER
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |