Real Jaén vs Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 0
RJA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 1
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 0
VVA
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ECI
3 - 3
RJA
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAL
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
BAZ
2 - 2
VVA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 2
BAZ
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BAZ
2 - 0
MAL
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAZ
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
BAZ
1 - 0
CER
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |