Real Jaén vs Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
90%
8%
2%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
MIJ
0 - 1
RJA
20%
26%
55%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
RJA
2 - 2
MAL
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
AMA
1 - 0
RJA
42%
29%
29%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
ORI
1 - 0
RJA
58%
24%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BAZ
2 - 2
MIJ
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
AMA
4 - 1
BAZ
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
MAL
1 - 1
BAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
BAZ
0 - 0
AMA
36%
27%
38%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
UDS
2 - 0
BAZ
37%
27%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |