Real Jaén vs Atletico Porcuna analysis

Real Jaén Atletico Porcuna
38 ELO 23
1.5% Tilt -27.2%
4922º General ELO ranking 7864º
173º Country ELO ranking 394º
ELO win probability
79.5%
Real Jaén
13.5%
Draw
7%
Atletico Porcuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
Real Jaén
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7%
Win probability
Atletico Porcuna
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-31%
+36%
Atletico Porcuna

Points and table prediction

Real Jaén
Their league position
Atletico Porcuna
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
21
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marbella FC
72
72
100%
Real Jaén
68
68
100%
El Palo FC
63
63
100%
UD Torre Del Mar
55
55
100%
At. Malagueño
45
45
0%
Huétor Vega
45
45
0%
Almería B
41
41
100%
UDC Torredonjimeno
41
41
0%
CF Motril
41
41
0%
Arenas de Armilla
10º
39
39
10º
100%
CD Torreperogil
11º
38
38
11º
100%
CD Huétor Tájar
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Maracena
13º
33
33
13º
100%
FC Málaga City
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Atletico Porcuna
15º
21
21
15º
100%
CD Huracán Melilla
16º
5
5
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Jaén
Atletico Porcuna
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Real Jaén
Atletico Porcuna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
MAR
Maracena
1 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
21%
25%
54%
38 24 14 0
22 Jan. 2023
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
El Palo FC
PAL
64%
20%
16%
38 34 4 0
15 Jan. 2023
UDT
UD Torre Del Mar
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
43%
26%
31%
39 35 4 -1
08 Jan. 2023
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
CF Motril
MOT
70%
18%
13%
38 30 8 +1
18 Dec. 2022
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Marbella FC
MAR
26%
25%
49%
36 45 9 +2

Matches

Atletico Porcuna
Atletico Porcuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
ATL
Atletico Porcuna
1 - 3
CD Huétor Tájar
HUE
23%
23%
54%
25 34 9 0
22 Jan. 2023
CHM
CD Huracán Melilla
1 - 2
Atletico Porcuna
ATL
12%
18%
71%
25 12 13 0
15 Jan. 2023
ATL
Atletico Porcuna
1 - 2
Almería B
ALM
21%
22%
57%
25 36 11 0
08 Jan. 2023
MAL
At. Malagueño
1 - 1
Atletico Porcuna
ATL
70%
18%
13%
25 34 9 0
17 Dec. 2022
ARE
Arenas de Armilla
3 - 1
Atletico Porcuna
ATL
40%
25%
35%
26 24 2 -1