Real Jaén vs Atletico Porcuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
21
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
RJA
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RJA
2 - 0
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UDT
2 - 1
RJA
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RJA
1 - 0
MOT
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Atletico Porcuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 3
HUE
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHM
1 - 2
ATL
12%
18%
71%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
ALM
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATL
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ARE
3 - 1
ATL
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |