Real Jaén vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 2
RJA
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
RJA
1 - 0
HUE
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 2
RJA
15%
21%
63%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 1
RJA
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDT
79%
14%
8%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
LOJ
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
ANT
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 1
MAN
66%
19%
16%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
CDE
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +3 |