Real Jaén vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
HUE
2 - 2
RJA
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RJA
4 - 0
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CDT
0 - 0
RJA
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RJA
2 - 0
PAL
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
HUE
0 - 2
RJA
18%
22%
61%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAL
2 - 2
LOJ
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 4
MAL
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAL
2 - 2
ANT
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 0
MAL
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAL
3 - 3
CDE
47%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |