Real Jaén vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
RJA
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 0
ROD
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
RJA
88%
9%
2%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
RJA
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 2
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 2
ALM
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
LAH
1 - 0
ALM
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
ARR
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
LAH
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |