Real Jaén vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
17.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
REC
3 - 0
RJA
75%
14%
11%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
RJA
3 - 1
CAT
53%
20%
27%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
RCD
0 - 1
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
RJA
1 - 0
BET
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
RJA
1 - 1
CAD
60%
19%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ALG
2 - 2
SDC
50%
20%
30%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
EME
1 - 1
ALG
48%
21%
31%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ALG
6 - 1
UDE
59%
18%
23%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ILI
0 - 3
ALG
75%
14%
12%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ALG
3 - 2
MEL
68%
15%
16%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |