Real Jaén vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
CAD
1 - 0
RJA
49%
22%
30%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
RJA
2 - 1
MAL
41%
23%
35%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
REC
2 - 3
RJA
59%
20%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 1
BAL
72%
15%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 2
LCF
75%
14%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
ALG
2 - 3
MEL
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
COR
3 - 0
ALG
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
LIN
2 - 1
ALG
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
ALG
4 - 0
CAD
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
ALG
0 - 1
MAL
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |