Real Jaén vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
LIN
1 - 0
RJA
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
ALB
3 - 2
RJA
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
RJA
2 - 1
XER
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1984 |
RJA
2 - 3
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
HOS
2 - 1
RJA
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
ALC
1 - 1
ADP
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
ANT
1 - 1
ALC
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALG
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
AMA
3 - 1
ALC
34%
34%
32%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1984 |
LIN
1 - 1
ALC
58%
26%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |