Real Jaén vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.6%
77.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
18%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAR
83%
11%
5%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ANT
0 - 2
RJA
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
RJA
0 - 0
TOR
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CDE
2 - 1
RJA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
RJA
2 - 0
POL
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 1
LEG
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 0
ALA
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 2
RMA
12%
20%
69%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EIB
0 - 2
ALA
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 0
VAD
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |