Real Jaén vs Adra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ALM
2 - 0
RJA
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
RJA
2 - 1
LIN
86%
10%
5%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
RON
0 - 0
RJA
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
RJA
2 - 1
90%
7%
3%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
PRI
1 - 0
RJA
26%
23%
50%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Adra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
GRA
2 - 0
ADR
76%
14%
9%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ADR
3 - 1
ALM
45%
25%
31%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
ADR
3 - 2
ILI
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
LIN
1 - 0
ADR
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ADR
1 - 2
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |