Real Jaén vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
REC
1 - 1
RJA
68%
21%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
RJA
2 - 0
SEV
53%
26%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
MUR
2 - 1
RJA
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
RJA
4 - 0
JOV
56%
26%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
MER
2 - 0
RJA
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
ADL
2 - 1
BAL
31%
28%
41%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
CDB
4 - 0
ADL
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
ADL
4 - 1
IMP
26%
28%
46%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +4 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ADL
1 - 5
REC
30%
31%
40%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
SEV
4 - 2
ADL
90%
8%
2%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |