Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
25.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
MAL
10%
22%
69%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 1
RJA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
POL
0 - 0
RJA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
PUE
42%
29%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SRQ
2 - 0
RJA
38%
29%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 1
POL
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 1
AGD
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 2
SRQ
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGD
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |