Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
30.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
RJA
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
BET
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
RJA
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 1
YEC
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
RJA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 1
CAD
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ROQ
1 - 1
AGD
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 5
SEV
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
AGD
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 0
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |