Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
26.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDO
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CDL
0 - 0
RJA
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
48%
29%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
CDO
1 - 2
RJA
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AGD
0 - 1
POL
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
AGD
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AGD
1 - 2
CAD
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BET
0 - 2
AGD
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AGD
2 - 0
ANT
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |