Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
UBC
0 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
DBN
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
RJA
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
JER
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
EXT
3 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
2 - 0
ECI
50%
28%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
AGD
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
UBC
1 - 0
AGD
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
AGD
1 - 0
DBN
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
AGD
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |