Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 2
RJA
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 0
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CIU
2 - 1
RJA
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
RJA
2 - 3
EXT
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ECI
1 - 1
RJA
36%
31%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AGD
0 - 2
MAL
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ALG
3 - 0
AGD
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
AGD
1 - 1
BET
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CAD
3 - 0
AGD
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
AGD
1 - 0
JER
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |