Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
ADP
1 - 1
RJA
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
RJA
4 - 1
BAL
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
ALG
2 - 1
RJA
52%
29%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
RJA
1 - 0
ANT
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
AMA
1 - 0
RJA
39%
32%
29%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
AGD
0 - 0
ALG
59%
25%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
ANT
2 - 1
AGD
41%
30%
29%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
AMA
1 - 0
AGD
31%
31%
38%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
AGD
1 - 0
ORI
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
CDB
0 - 1
AGD
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |