Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
32.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
POR
3 - 0
RJA
57%
26%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
RJA
1 - 1
LOR
51%
29%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
SFE
1 - 1
RJA
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
RJA
0 - 2
ALB
62%
25%
13%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
PUE
0 - 1
RJA
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGD
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
AGD
1 - 2
ALB
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
AGD
2 - 1
CDB
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
CDF
1 - 0
AGD
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
AGD
1 - 1
ANT
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |