Real Jaén B vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FUE
2 - 2
RJA
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
RJA
4 - 2
UDS
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 5
RJA
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 2
ATM
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BEN
3 - 3
RJA
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
NER
0 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CDR
1 - 3
NER
26%
26%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NER
3 - 0
DHE
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MIJ
2 - 3
NER
16%
23%
61%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NER
1 - 2
UBE
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |