Real Jaén B vs Castillo de Locubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDH
1 - 1
RJA
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
2 - 4
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RJA
1 - 1
LAG
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CPH
1 - 7
RJA
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDV
78%
13%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 3
VIL
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
JIM
4 - 3
CDA
70%
16%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDH
2 - 0
CDA
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 3
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LAG
6 - 1
CDA
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |