Real Jaén B vs Alcalá CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
BAE
34%
26%
40%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 3
RJA
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 2
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MIJ
2 - 2
RJA
52%
24%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 6
PAL
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
4 - 0
ALC
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 5
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NER
4 - 0
ALC
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 3
BEN
19%
23%
58%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |