Real Jaén B vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CLU
0 - 2
RJA
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RJA
2 - 3
URG
39%
24%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LAG
4 - 1
RJA
39%
24%
38%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LID
2 - 0
RJA
57%
20%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BAE
0 - 1
LID
19%
21%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
BAE
63%
21%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BAE
1 - 2
UBE
29%
26%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 2
BAE
50%
22%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAE
2 - 3
ADL
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |