Real Jaén B vs At. Marbellí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DHE
3 - 1
RJA
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 2
CFA
37%
24%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NSR
2 - 3
RJA
48%
24%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 1
UBE
26%
26%
48%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
RJA
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
At. Marbellí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 3
LIN
14%
20%
67%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
4 - 0
ATM
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 1
MLK
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ATM
62%
21%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 1
VIL
13%
21%
66%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | +1 |