Venezuelan Cup Second Round Final
Global 2-3
Real Frontera FC vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Frontera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2017 |
URE
2 - 0
FRO
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ATG
3 - 2
FRO
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 1
FRO
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 0
ULA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 4
FRO
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2017 |
URE
2 - 0
FRO
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
URE
2 - 0
ZAM
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
URE
2 - 0
ATG
61%
21%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
URE
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
URE
2 - 0
ULA
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |