Real Frontera FC vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Frontera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
FRO
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
FRO
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 2
TAC
8%
14%
78%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 2
PDB
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
URE
2 - 1
FRO
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
POL
0 - 3
TIT
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
POL
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
POR
5 - 0
POL
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 5
POR
14%
25%
61%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
ATL
16%
23%
61%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |