Real Frontera FC vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Frontera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
FRO
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 2
PDB
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
FRO
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POL
3 - 2
TIT
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POL
0 - 3
FAL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -4 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
ATL
26%
25%
48%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZUL
4 - 0
POL
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |