Clausura Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Real Estelí vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDS
1 - 3
EST
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
UNA
1 - 2
EST
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 2
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
EST
2 - 1
DIR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
EST
3 - 2
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDS
1 - 3
EST
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
WAL
2 - 3
CDS
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
RSA
1 - 1
CDS
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDS
2 - 1
DEP
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
CDS
0 - 0
JAP
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |