Real Estelí vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
5º
2º
30
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
CDS
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
EST
18%
26%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
EST
5 - 0
JAP
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
UNA
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 2
MAN
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
DIR
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
CDS
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |