Apertura Nicaragua Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Real Estelí vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
EST
6 - 0
MFC
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 4
EST
16%
24%
61%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 5
MAN
43%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 3
MAN
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
MFC
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
CDS
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |